VICO forecasts have been back tested and show superior accuracy to prediction markets and human forecasters.

Example — ten days before US and Israeli strikes on Iran triggered a market repricing, VICO's hourly forecast had already climbed steadily from 55% to 78.5%, reading carrier deployments, military buildups, and failed diplomatic talks in real time. Human-traded prediction markets sat flat, then spiked on the news.

Access VICO risk Tickers, subscribe to industry tailored watch centers (such as our Pharma Regulatory Risk Tracker) or create your own.

Example — the Pharma Regulatory Risk Tracker monitors all major Pharma companies across 16 risk types, surfacing that WuXi AppTec faces a 90% probability of congressional oversight hearings and an 85% probability of executive orders on drug pricing within 180 days. The live risk index sits at 64.2, up 3.1 points.

Example – US–China Decoupling Index

Example — VICO is tracking whether the U.S.-backed BlackRock/MSC consortium will secure control of Panama's Balboa and Cristóbal port terminals without Chinese state ownership. With the baseline at 33%, VICO modelled four what-if scenarios: a $2B+ DFC commitment lifts probability to 77%; COSCO accepting a minority stake brings it to 48%; a Chinese terminal win elsewhere drops it to 29%; and a $3B+ Chinese financing pledge pushes probability to just 3%.